🚫 Betting Assessment

Race Verdict: Competitive, no clear standout

Reason for Verdict: A number of entrants require a return to form or to prove turf ability relative to AW exploits, making any bet speculative at best with little margin for error.

📊 Race Quality Rating

Score: 70/100

Grade: Strong handicap contest

Confidence: Moderate

⭐ Main Contenders

Havana Prince Largely reliable at this level

Havana Prince arrives in good order after scoring on AW last time and boasts an excellent turf record, including multiple wins around York and over this distance. His proven course form over 7f and ability to handle this going brings him firmly into the reckoning. Handicapped to be competitive, he remains a solid option.

Highland Olly Has held form well

On a hat-trick having shown good consistency of late, Highland Olly looks to be in fine form. Although the anticipated big field could test him, his current form suggests he has the ability to maintain his presence in the first four.

Obelix Remains on a workable mark

Obelix brings winning form at this level, including over the C&D last season, from a mark just 2lb lower than his current rating. Capable of a return to form, his profile suggests he is handicapped to be competitive once again.

⚠️ Next Best / Dangers

Mereside Diva Consistent without winning

Mereside Diva delivered a close second at Wetherby recently and holds placed form over this course and distance. While a winner, she is regularly in the mix and remains a danger for frame honours.

Style Of Life Open to further improvement

With a broadly progressive profile on turf for this yard, Style Of Life appears to have more to offer. He merits consideration given his improvement curve and suitability for this 7f trip on good going.

Nyman Regularly in the mix

Already a consistent competitor with recent fourth-place finishes, Nyman again brings frame possibilities but needs to raise his game slightly to secure a victory.

❌ Outsiders / Weak Profiles

Aisling Oscar

Has failed to transfer his AW form back to turf, remaining without a win in 10 turf tries. Hard to recommend on recent evidence.

Captain Parma

Consistent on AW but still has something to prove on turf; turf record is unconvincing.

Dingle

Latest effort took his turf record to 0-16, making his prospects limited in this field.

Leadman

Brings some doubt over current form despite an attractive mark; may need this run for a return to form.

Montezin

May still do better but has enough to prove now stepped up in trip and back on turf.

Moon Beginnings

Low-mileage 4yo with a sole 7f win on debut, but remains largely unexposed in this sphere.

North View

Returns to turf from AW but looks weighted to the hilt, reducing expectations.

Ormolulu

All wins over 6f on AW, so not the percentage call stepping up in trip on turf.

Orne

Form over shorter trips lacks solidity; a weak profile for this test.

Spirit Genie

8lb below last winning mark but performs best on ground softer than good, limiting chances here.

War Howl

Yet to show anything near best form since joining new stable and difficult to recommend.

Zarathos

Opened account at Windsor (1m) recently and is 4lb well in, but this step down in trip and tougher contest present an unknown factor.

📌 Race Summary

• Strong competition with no overwhelming favourite, emphasising the value of detailed form scrutiny.
• Several runners require a return to form or to prove their turf credentials after AW exploits.
• Course and distance experience favour Havana Prince, Obelix, and Mereside Diva.
• Lightly raced and progressive types such as Style Of Life and Moon Beginnings offer potential but are unproven at this level.

Best Profile: Havana Prince for proven course success and current handcap mark

🏁 Final Verdict

1st Choice: Havana Prince

Main Danger: Highland Olly

Each-Way Value: Mereside Diva

On balance, Havana Prince offers the best chance with his proven turf form and solid mark. Highland Olly’s current good run of form makes him the main danger, while Mereside Diva could provide each-way value given her consistent placed efforts over course and distance.

Betting Verdict: Cautious interest only

Reason: The race demands a return to form from several key contenders, and the mixture of AW versus turf form weakens confidence in any single selection. Prices reflecting current uncertainty are unlikely to offer value.

🚫 Betting Assessment

Race Verdict: No clear confidence for a strong betting stance

Reason for Verdict: The field contains several lightly raced or unexposed fillies with potential, leading to uncertainty in race shape and performance progression. With multiple runners yet to prove themselves beyond juvenile form or necessity for return to form, it is hard to isolate a reliable selection.

📊 Race Quality Rating

Score: 72/100

Grade: Listed (Class 1)

Confidence: Moderate

⭐ Main Contenders

Pacific Mission Leading Form

Placed second in the Breeders’ Cup over a similar mile trip last October, Pacific Mission carries strong credentials and looks to hold leading claims on her reappearance. Her proven stamina over the distance combined with high-class form suggests she remains on a workable mark and is handicapped to be competitive at this level.

So Regal Undefeated & Well Treated

Undefeated over two starts this season, So Regal is well bred and appears open to further improvement. Her unbeaten record shows consistency without winning, suggesting she is capable of rising to this step in class despite the lack of exposure beyond Listed level.

Botagoz Unexposed Up in Grade

Two wins from two races to date but stepping up in grade here. Bred for the task, Botagoz’s limitations remain untested at this level. Capable of return to form after a break, she could yet have more to offer in this sphere.

⚠️ Next Best / Dangers

Act Of Kindness Open to Progress

Finished third in the 7f Nell Gwyn Stakes and steps up to a mile here, a trip that may bring out further improvement. She is lightly raced and open to progress, making her a dangerous contender if improving stamina proves to be an asset.

Lilt Unexposed Prospect

Only narrowly won her sole juvenile start and is well bred. She remains lightly raced and open to improvement, with potential to step forward tackling this mile trip for the first time.

Fashion People Improvement Needed

Undefeated in two previous outings but faces stronger form rivals today. Represents a top stable and should not be dismissed, though others carry more established credentials.

Synchronicity Exciting Prospect

Won on debut last month and is a sister to Group 1 winner Ombudsman. Though still unexposed in this sphere, she is an exciting prospect whose progression will be of interest at this level.

❌ Outsiders / Weak Profiles

Other Entrants

All runners have been considered above, leaving no strongly weak profiles. Those with limited experience or needing to raise their game are noted, but no runner is impossible on the day should improvement occur.

📌 Race Summary

• Several unbeaten fillies are stepping up in grade and distance, making form lines tentative.
• Pacific Mission boasts the strongest proven form and stamina credentials for a mile test.
• So Regal and Botagoz both remain lightly raced and open to further improvement.
• Act Of Kindness and Lilt represent fillies with scope to progress over this trip and at Listed level.

Best Profile: Pacific Mission for proven mile form and handicapping advantage

🏁 Final Verdict

1st Choice: Pacific Mission

Main Danger: So Regal

Each-Way Value: Act Of Kindness

Pacific Mission holds leading claims on returning to form from an enviable previous season’s end. So Regal, unbeaten this year, is a worthy danger given her clear progression and breeding. Act Of Kindness could improve stepping up to a mile and handicap conditions suited.

Betting Verdict: Cautious approach advised; no strong betting angle

Reason: Unexposed profiles and multiple possible improvers create an unpredictable scenario. Although value sides exist, the race shape is uncertain for confident wagering.

🚫 Betting Assessment

Race Verdict: Competitive heat with no standout betting proposition

Reason for Verdict: Despite the presence of several credible performers, the depth of the field and many runners requiring a return to form or an upturn in performance make confident wagering difficult. The race shape and tactical demands remind one to be cautious in backing any single contender heavily.

📊 Race Quality Rating

Score: 74

Grade: Good Handicap

Confidence: Moderate

⭐ Main Contenders

Have Secret Capable of return to form

Have Secret arrives on the back of an encouraging victory at Pontefract and performed well in this race last year, finishing third. Proven at this distance and course, he looks handicapped to be competitive and fits the bill for a solid showing if maintaining his current level.

Per Contra Return to form needed

Per Contra was narrowly beaten here over 1m 2f last August and ran well at Musselburgh recently, a performance that can be upgraded. Capable on this trip and with handicap conditions fair, he merits consideration under these circumstances.

Warrant Holder Open to further improvement

This lightly raced 4yo impressed when last seen and, stepping into handicap company over a suitable trip, Warrant Holder could offer more to the race with further development expected.

⚠️ Next Best / Dangers

The Glen Rovers Handicapped to be competitive

The Glen Rovers showed quality with a competitive AW handicap score last time and could be involved here if handling a return to turf without setback.

Tony Montana Consistent without winning

On the same mark as when a close second in this race last year, Tony Montana offers each-way appeal, typically running with credit and showing consistency in similar contests.

Double Parked Largely reliable at this level

After a good third over 1m at Redcar last week, Double Parked commands respect stepping up slightly in trip, providing he settles and sees out the distance.

Cadarn Open to progress

Winner of two consecutive races last spring, Cadarn has been below par more recently but remains potentially dangerous if returning to formative conditions.

❌ Outsiders / Weak Profiles

Altareq

Returned from a break and making his handicap debut after leaving a top stable, Altareq remains hard to recommend on recent evidence despite a promising background.

Chillingham

Although a course winner on the Flat, Chillingham’s underwhelming performances over hurdles during winter cast doubts on his current form and ability at this level.

Zryan

Once prominent, Zryan appears to have gone off the boil lately, yet the step back up in trip may offer a slight aid, though a return to form is needed.

Thunder Run

Off the same mark as when winning this last year, Thunder Run requires a return to form to feature prominently, and recent runs have been well held.

Financer

With a lengthy losing sequence now of 13 starts, Financer needs to raise his game considerably to impact this contest.

Regal Ulixes

Lightly raced and with some decent AW form, Regal Ulixes could have more to offer, though handicapped to be competitive but without standout recent turf evidence.

Castle Stuart

Has struggled to kick on since a good run over course and distance last August and looks unlikely to threaten here.

📌 Race Summary

• Strong handicap featuring a mixture of exposed performers and lightly raced 4yos stepping up in trip.
• Have Secret and Per Contra bring proven ability at this course and distance and appear best weighted.
• Several contenders need a clear return to form to be involved, including Thunder Run and Cadarn.
• Race likely to be run at a solid gallop where stamina and tactical positioning will be decisive in final stages.

Best Profile: Have Secret

🏁 Final Verdict

1st Choice: Have Secret

Main Danger: Per Contra

Each-Way Value: Tony Montana

This deeply competitive handicap demands a good return to form from several key players with Have Secret standing out on pedigree of recent course and distance form. Per Contra’s consistency and solid Musselburgh run mark him as the main threat, while Tony Montana’s reliability over similar conditions offers each-way appeal.

Betting Verdict: Conservative approach advised

Reason: The mix of horses requiring a return to form and increasing distance for some runners tempers enthusiasm for strong backing. Wagering should focus on best each-way prospects rather than confident singles.

🚫 Betting Assessment

Race Verdict: Competitive but no standout certainty

Reason for Verdict: The field features multiple lightly raced fillies open to progress, alongside reliable performers stepping into Listed company. This mix complicates confident betting and suggests caution is prudent.

📊 Race Quality Rating

Score: 72/100

Grade: Solid Listed level for juveniles

Confidence: Moderate

⭐ Main Contenders

Lover Girl Capable of further improvement

Lover Girl remains unbeaten in two starts, most notably taking a conditions race over this trip at Salisbury. The Amo Racing filly is well treated on old form and her current mark suggests she is handicapped to be competitive at this level. Her positional speed and proven ability to travel strongly suit the track, marking her as a credible favourite for the race.

Princesse d’Orange Open to further improvement

Showing quite an impressive turn of foot at Beverley, Princesse d’Orange is likely to have scope to raise her game and is open to progress despite stepping into Listed company for the first time. She will appreciate the quick five-furlong trip and could develop into a serious threat if maintaining form on Yorkshire’s straight track.

⚠️ Next Best / Dangers

Lady Blanche Has held form well

Lady Blanche arrives on the back of an authoritative victory at Bath, providing the Amo Racing stable a solid hand in the race. She is largely reliable at this level and can maintain form, but this step up to Listed class will test her consistency against tougher rivals.

Niewiadoma Open to progress

Niewiadoma, having taken a win at Thirsk, benefits from a stable enjoying a fruitful juvenile campaign so far. Also open to improvement, the filly thrives on a strong pace and may cope well with the demands of the Listed standard, though this is a step above her recent outings.

❌ Outsiders / Weak Profiles

Armor Supreme

Having made all at Goodwood, Armor Supreme provided a bright early impression but this represents a far stiffer task. Handicapped to be competitive remains questionable as the filly lacks the class depth shown by the stronger contenders here.

Lake Muritz

Lake Muritz’s recent success at Beverley was on an easier level, and she looks unlikely to follow up at Listed grade. She has to raise her game significantly to challenge effectively in this field.

Margaret’s Pearl

Margaret’s Pearl prevailed narrowly at Pontefract but appears set to fall short in class here, needing to return to form to be competitive. The step up may be too severe at present.

Lauralynn

Lauralynn shows consistent but modest form and has the worst chance judged on current evidence. Tough to recommend for stakes purposes without a marked improvement.

Love A Giggle

Though a Southwell AW winner, Love A Giggle is unproven on turf at this level and has to return to form after a break. While trained well, she could have more to offer before challenging in Listed company.

Angels Passing

The sole debutante, Angels Passing, was expensive as a yearling but remains a question mark without track experience. Watching betting interest closely could help gauge her chances, but a return to form is needed before making firm assessments.

📌 Race Summary

• A competitive Listed sprint for two-year-old fillies with form ranging from unbeaten juveniles to those stepping up in class.
• Strong emphasis on positional speed and ability to handle a stiff five-furlong test on a stiff track.
• Runners such as Lover Girl and Princesse d’Orange show scope for improvement and bring solid form into the contest.
• Several outsiders face a significant class test and require a notable return to form to threaten the principals.

Best Profile: Lover Girl – unbeaten with genuine Listed class potential and a workable mark

🏁 Final Verdict

1st Choice: Lover Girl

Main Danger: Princesse d’Orange

Each-Way Value: Lady Blanche

Lover Girl’s unbeaten record and proven adaptability over five furlongs on turf leave her well placed to maintain her progression at Listed level. Princesse d’Orange is open to further improvement and may prove a stern test, while Lady Blanche’s authorities recent running form makes her a reliable each-way option. The race promises a contest between potential and experience, with class and early speed key factors.

Betting Verdict: Cautious interest in Lover Girl, with value in Princesse d’Orange each-way

Reason: The race composition and range of profiles suggest no certain outcome; Lover Girl’s consistency and form edge her into favour, while others merit respect for progression potential.

🚫 Betting Assessment

Race Verdict: Competitive but finely balanced, best approached with caution

Reason for Verdict: The field contains several consistent and high-class performers, but a couple are light on recent action or require a marked step forward, making strong betting convictions difficult. Market support could prove insightful closer to race time.

📊 Race Quality Rating

Score: 82/100

Grade: High Group 2 Standard

Confidence: Moderate

⭐ Main Contenders

Amiloc Open to Further Improvement

Amiloc has shown progression with each outing this season, highlighted by an excellent second in the Irish St Leger and a credible fourth in the Breeders’ Cup Turf. His form suggests he is open to further improvement and is very much a live contender in this event, particularly given the step back to 1m 6f which suits his stamina profile.

Rahiebb Largely Reliable at This Level

Finishing a neck second in last year’s St Leger on soft ground marks Rahiebb as one of the more consistent performers here. His finish from off the pace under similar conditions makes him one of the clear form picks, although the good going at York is a variable he must handle.

Al Nayyir Consistent Without Winning

Pretty reliable overall, including a Meydan Group 3 success over 1m 6f in February. Al Nayyir has held his form well and maintains a profile that suggests he will be competitive and likely in the frame.

Epic Poet Capable of Return to Form

Runner-up in this contest last year, Epic Poet should be seriously involved again. However, to secure victory, he may require a career-best effort considering the depth of this field and his recent performances.

⚠️ Next Best / Dangers

Furthur Open to Progress

Having been gelded recently, Furthur could resume his progress this season, which would bring him back into serious contention for this pattern event. His prior form showed promise and the additional maturity gained over the break is a positive factor.

Tarriance Needs to Return to Form

Winner of the Melrose Handicap at this course and distance, Tarriance’s profile is that of a horse who needs to return to form after a heavy defeat in a 2m Ascot Group 3 just two weeks ago. His ability over this trip remains a positive, but recent evidence is hard to recommend strongly.

❌ Outsiders / Weak Profiles

Deira Mile

Despite fourth-place finishes in top races including the 2024 Derby and St Leger, Deira Mile remains very opposable due to his limited racecourse action since last season. The lack of recent competitive runs means he has to return to form after a break and is difficult to support confidently in this competitive heat.

📌 Race Summary

• Amiloc and Rahiebb shape as the leading candidates based on consistent recent form and proven ability at this distance.
• Al Nayyir presents a solid profile with a consistent record and could be involved in the finish.
• Epic Poet, a previous runner-up, needs a career best to triumph but can place.
• Furthur’s progress post-gelding is worth monitoring, while Tarriance requires a return to form following a heavy defeat.

Best Profile: Amiloc – balanced blend of current top form, stamina, and potential for improvement

🏁 Final Verdict

1st Choice: Amiloc

Main Danger: Rahiebb

Each-Way Value: Al Nayyir

This renewal of the Boodles Yorkshire Cup is finely poised with Amiloc leading the way thanks to a consistent pattern of high-class efforts and scope for improvement. Rahiebb’s proven form over similar trips and conditions positions him as the main danger. Al Nayyir’s consistency and recent winning form make him a sound each-way investment. Others like Epic Poet and Furthur cannot be ignored but may need further progress or a return to form to challenge effectively.

Betting Verdict: Cautious interest on Amiloc with layers on Rahiebb advised given the competitive nature of the line-up

Reason: The race features a number of credible performers with differing profiles and form cycles, requiring a measured betting approach that accounts for possible fluctuations in conditions and finishing speed.

🚫 Betting Assessment

Race Verdict: Competitive handicap with no clear standout, best approached with caution.

Reason for Verdict: The field presents a number of consistent and lightly raced types, but many require a return to form or are unexposed at this level. The wide stall draw for some key contenders adds to the uncertainty.

📊 Race Quality Rating

Score: 75/100

Grade: Class 3 Handicap Standard

Confidence: Moderate

⭐ Main Contenders

Schrodinger’s Cat Handicapped to be competitive

Runner-up in his first two handicap starts for this yard, Schrodinger’s Cat has held form well and looks to have a clear profile suited to this race. His steady progress at this level suggests he is handicapped to be competitive, especially from a reasonable draw away from the extremes, and he is capable of a return to form with conditions in his favour.

Naana’s Shadow Looks well treated on old form

The Catterick winner showed promise despite being in a lower grade. Now five pounds higher, she remains on a workable mark and could have more to offer stepping up here. The filly looks well treated on old form and is capable of progress if handling the upgrade in class and possible firmer ground.

Shes Got A Brother Still unexposed in this sphere

Unbeaten in two starts at Southwell last month, Shes Got A Brother arrives confidently on handicap debut. While both wins were against modest opposition on the AW, she looks a lightly raced sprinter who is still unexposed in this sphere and could play a part if taking well to the quicker surface and rise in class.

⚠️ Next Best / Dangers

Call Margot Consistent without winning

Did well to negotiate a tricky passage at Southwell and return a creditable effort. A 6lb rise may not prevent her from being competitive in this spot but a return to form is required to pose a serious threat here.

Entailed Open to further improvement

Returned a promising third on stable debut at Thirsk and could build on that run here. Open to further improvement and should benefit from a solid pace scenario, particularly given the draw.

Old Is Gold Capable of return to form

Well supported on comeback at Sandown despite an unconvincing run. With a more straightforward race and some luck in running, Old Is Gold could make a part to play. Capable of a return to form and off a reasonable mark.

Arduis Invicta Regularly in the mix

Produced a positive display at Chester despite a wide draw and remains capable of competing. A regularly competitive sort who may not be out of place at this level.

❌ Outsiders / Weak Profiles

Chairmanfourtimes

Listed winner last September but on a tough mark judged on his subsequent form. Hard to recommend on recent evidence in this competitive handicap.

Eternal Solace

Some respectable efforts on the all-weather this year but appears exposed and unlikely to improve enough to trouble the principals here.

Nuevo Slovo

Showed promise as a two-year-old but makes his seasonal and stable debut here and may be best watched until showing more on turf.

Von Trotter

Consistently runner-up on three starts but needs further improvement to handle the jump to handicap level here. Largely reliable but limited scope visible so far.

Storm Esme

Two wins from three last year but was soundly beaten on recent reappearance and may have needed the run. Needs to raise her game to figure.

Fortification

Consistent under previous trainer but yet to display enough to justify confidence on debut for Archie Watson. Improvement required.

Sir Alfie

Two wins last summer but recent form suggests he is struggling to compete at this level. The addition of a tongue-tie may help but remains a long shot.

Hanney Girl

On a fair mark based on nursery form but needs to take a step forward from her comeback run to feature here.

Kinnalargy

Showed some pace in a 6f nursery last autumn but gelded since and has to prove improvement at this trip and level.

Desert Treasure

Undefeated at two, both wins coming in July, but absent since. Has potential off her opening mark but requires a return to form after a long absence.

Stargazed

Winner of a Ripon maiden last July and possesses an attractive pedigree. However, she remains lightly raced and can only be seen as an outsider at this stage.

📌 Race Summary

• Strong sprint handicap with a mixture of lightly raced and seasoned three-year-olds.
• Wide draw influences likely tactics; pace and positioning key factors over quick 5f.
• Schrodinger’s Cat and Naana’s Shadow stand out as handicapped to be competitive.
• Several candidates require a return to form or are stepping up into listed company conditions.

Best Profile: Schrodinger’s Cat — consistent handicap performer holding competitive marks backed by solid recent efforts.

🏁 Final Verdict

1st Choice: Schrodinger’s Cat

Main Danger: Naana’s Shadow

Each-Way Value: Call Margot

Schrodinger’s Cat offers a profile suggesting he is well treated on his current mark and has held form well across his recent outings. Naana’s Shadow appears to hold a workable mark and has potential to progress. Call Margot is consistent without winning and capable of placing if conditions suit. The wide stall draw may affect some, especially Arduis Invicta, who is regularly competitive but could be compromised by track position. Overall, this contest calls for a cautious betting approach given the number of uncertain factors and the need for several runners to regain form.

Betting Verdict: Cautious wagering recommended.

Reason: No runner stands out as a reliable bet due to doubts over form, fitness, or handicap mark. The race shape and draw further complicate selections.

🚫 Betting Assessment

Race Verdict: Competitive but no standout confident selection

Reason for Verdict: Several contenders possess credible profiles but a clear front-runner is absent; many require a return to form or step forward making the race difficult to assess conclusively.

📊 Race Quality Rating

Score: 72/100

Grade: Class 2 Novice Handicap level

Confidence: Moderate

⭐ Main Contenders

Portcullis Leading Claims

Impressive winner on debut in the Wood Ditton and looks well treated on old form despite carrying a 6lb penalty here. Has held form well and should be able to transfer that ability to York’s mile round course. Handicapped to be competitive and the clear one to beat given his current profile and fitness.

Ervani Open To Progress

Well-bred colt who was second at Wetherby on debut. He is in good hands to progress and a return to form is likely if able to handle the track and step up in trip. Still unexposed and could improve noticeably with experience.

⚠️ Next Best / Dangers

Weheedd Promising Debut

Well backed on debut at Yarmouth last month and that form has worked out well. Capable of a return to form and should handle the extra distance. A credible danger if able to build on his initial run.

Celtic Chariot Needs a Step Forward

Showed ability on debut at Doncaster three weeks ago but will require a sizeable improvement to feature prominently here. Open to further improvement but others hold more obvious claims currently.

Test Run Potential in Pedigree

His sole 2yo run displayed some promise and pedigree suggests scope for improvement. Needs to raise his game to be competitive in this field but open to progress.

❌ Outsiders / Weak Profiles

Always Blue

Promising second on debut at Ripon but this task looks beyond her at this level. Needs to return to form against stronger opposition.

Lord d’Or

Possible he will improve on his 2yo run but others have more obvious claims here. Return to form needed for consideration.

Pearl

Belated debutante related to high-class performers but faces a tough race against males and reflects an unproven profile. Hard to recommend on recent evidence.

📌 Race Summary

• Portcullis commands respect following an impressive debut success and carries a penalty.
• Ervani and Weheedd appear the most probable improvers from recent introductions and are capable of strong showings.
• Distance suits many who have run at 7 furlongs but this step to 1 mile (York round course) is significant.
• Several runners require a return to form or a marked improvement, offering an open betting market.

Best Profile: Portcullis for proven ability and current handicap mark

🏁 Final Verdict

1st Choice: Portcullis

Main Danger: Ervani

Each-Way Value: Weheedd

This is a competitive novice with no certain best. Portcullis appeals most on demonstrated class and race experience despite penalty weight. Ervani’s breeding and debut runner-up effort make him a credible challenger, whilst Weheedd’s form has worked out well and he has each-way claims stepping up in trip. The newcomers and lightly raced runners are capable of improvement but require a return to form to be fully competitive.

Betting Verdict: Modest confidence on Portcullis with Ervani and Weheedd as main dangers

Reason: Portcullis looks well treated on old form and is handicapped to be competitive; Ervani and Weheedd are open to progress whereas others need to return to form or raise their game substantially.